Highlights: Foresights and futures studies depend on the adequacy of our knowledge of the present and the past. Big data evidence suggests that the English language area was not capitalist between 1800 and 2000. Popular social macro trend statements ought to be regularly scrutinised so as to reduce the risk that inadequate trend assumptions are […]Read more "Release | Was that capitalism? A future-oriented big data analysis of the 19th and 20th century"
Big data reality check of social macro trends published in TFSC: Roth S., Clark C., Trofimov N., Mkrtchyan A., Heidingsfelder M., Appignanesi L., Pérez-Valls M., Berkel J., and Kaivo-oja J. (2017) Futures of a distributed memory. A global brain wave measurement (1800-2000), Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 118 No. May, pp. 307-323. Abstract: If the global brain is […]Read more "Release | A global brain wave measurement"
Abstract: Using the updated Google Book corpus dataset generated in July 2012, we analyze the largest available corpus of digitalized books to review social macro trends such as the secularization, politicization, economization, and mediatization of society. These familiar trend statements are tested through a comparative analysis of word frequency time-series plots for the English, French, […]Read more "Release | An Updated Google Ngram View of Trends in Functional Differentiation (1800-2000)"
I have been invited to speak at this year’s City University of Hong Kong workshop on Computational Approaches to Big Data in the Social Sciences and Humanities, June 6, 2016. Do check the website and consider to participate! A short report on the workshop is available here.Read more "Speaker @CityU Hong Kong CSS Workshop"
Abstract: This article tests whether the field of foresight and futures studies shows significant variable selection biases in the modelling of the future in general and the impact of function systems in particular. We performed a word frequency analysis to measure the relative importance of the political system, the economy, science, art, religion, law, sport, […]Read more "Release | Is the future a political economy?"
Roth, S. (2014), The multifunctional organization: Two cases for a critical update for research programs in management and organization, Tamara: Journal for Critical Organization Inquiry, Vol. 12 No. 3, pp. 37-54. Abstract: Organization and functional differentiation are considered key principles of modern societies. Yet, within organizational studies little research has been conducted on the interplay of function systems, organizations, and society. […]Read more "Release | The Multifunctional Organization"
Roth, S. (2014), Fashionable functions. A Google ngram view of trends in functional differentiation (1800-2000), International Journal of Technology and Human Interaction, Vol. 10 No. 2, 34-58 [FNEGE, CNRS]. ABSTRACT Computer communication is revolutionizing modern society to the same extend as the invention of writing or the printing press have unsettled the archaic or the ancient society, […]Read more "Surprise | There is no such thing as economized societies"